ConAgra reports sad sales for fiscal 2014

ConAgra reports sad sales for fiscal 2014

CEO: “We are disappointed with fiscal 2014 overall, and we have a very focused sense of urgency directed toward improving our results."

ConAgra Foods Inc., (NYSE: CAG) one of North America’s leading food companies, reported results for the fiscal 2014 fourth quarter ended May 25, 2014. Diluted loss per share from continuing operations was $(0.76) as reported for the fiscal fourth quarter versus diluted EPS of $0.45 in the year-ago period. After adjusting for items impacting comparability, current-quarter diluted EPS of $0.55 was 8 percent below the comparable $0.60 earned in the year-ago period.

Gary Rodkin, ConAgra Foods’ chief executive officer, said, “We are disappointed with fiscal 2014 overall, and we have a very focused sense of urgency directed toward improving our results. Despite the difficult year, we were able to generate substantial cash, meet our debt reduction commitments and pay a strong dividend.”

He continued, “Our focus is on improving branded volumes through more effective trade, marketing and resource allocation, particularly on several large underperforming brands. We expect private brand profitability to strengthen through organic growth, strong synergies and gradually improving price/mix. Some of the challenges from fiscal 2014 will still be with us in fiscal 2015, although we believe results will gradually improve throughout the fiscal year. Given that, we consider fiscal 2015 to be a year of stabilization and recovery with a mid-single digit rate of EPS growth, which we expect to accelerate in fiscal 2016 and 2017 based on a stronger foundation. Throughout this period, we expect to benefit from strong productivity, robust cost synergies related to the Ralcorp acquisition, and SG&A efficiency and effectiveness initiatives. We will remain focused on growing our top line, continually improving our cost structure, and sound capital allocation.”

Consumer Foods segment
Branded food items sold worldwide in retail channels.

The Consumer Foods segment posted sales of approximately $1.8 billion for the quarter and operating profit of $177 million as reported. Sales declined 7 percent, with a 7 percent volume decrease, 1 percent favorable price/mix, and a 1 percent unfavorable impact of foreign exchange.

  • While several brands posted weak volumes in the quarter, a meaningful portion of the overall volume decline was driven by Healthy Choice, Orville Redenbacher’s and Chef Boyardee (these collectively have annual sales in excess of $1 billion), which have continued to face volume and profit challenges. The company has product and promotion changes, as well as refinements to consumer communication under way, which are expected to gradually improve the volume and profit performance of these brands throughout fiscal 2015.
  • Overall category softness, as well as a shift in the timing of promotions, negatively impacted current quarter volumes.

Operating profit of $177 million was 34 percent below year ago amounts, as reported. After adjusting for $91 million of expense in the current quarter (principally impairment charges) and $4 million of expense in the year-ago period from items impacting comparability, current quarter operating profit of $268 million was 3 percent below the comparable $275 million in the year-ago period. Cost savings in excess of inflation, as well as lower advertising and promotion expenses, offset a meaningful portion of the profit shortfall resulting from weak volumes. Regarding fiscal 2015, the company expects branded volume to improve gradually through a focus on faster-growing customer channels, opportunities in international markets and more effective trade and marketing support.

Commercial Foods segment
Specialty potato, bakery products, seasonings, blends, flavors, as well as consumer branded and private branded packaged food items, sold to foodservice and commercial channels worldwide.

Sales for the Commercial Foods segment were $1.63 billion, up 1 percent compared with $1.61 billion in the year-ago period, as reported. Segment operating profit of $281 million was 49 percent above year-ago period amounts, as reported. After adjusting for $91 million of net benefit in the current quarter primarily related to gains on divesting mills in connection with the formation of the Ardent Mills joint venture, comparable current quarter operating profit of $190 million was 1 percent above year-ago period amounts.

Lamb Weston potato products posted sales and profit growth largely due to strong international volumes, as well as productivity initiatives that helped offset crop quality challenges. Flour milling sales decreased, reflecting the pass-through of lower wheat costs, and comparable milling profits declined reflecting market conditions.

After the close of the quarter, the Ardent Mills joint venture was formed, and the company contributed its milling operations for a 44 percent interest in Ardent Mills and cash proceeds. Other Ardent Mills details are discussed under the Capital Items portion of this document.

Private brands
Private brand food items sold in domestic markets.

Sales for the Private Brands segment were approximately $1 billion in the quarter, in line with year-ago period amounts. The segment posted an operating loss of $573 million, as reported, due to impairment charges. After adjusting for $617 million of net expense from impairment charges and other items impacting comparability, current quarter operating profit of $44 million was $60 million below comparable year-ago period amounts. The significant profit decline reflects pricing concessions made earlier in the year necessitated by competitive bids and customer service issues; higher-than-planned operating costs resulting from business transition also weighed on profits.

While operating profits for the Private Brands segment are expected to remain below prior year amounts for the first half of fiscal 2015 given the pricing concessions, year-over-year performance in the second half of fiscal 2015 is expected to improve. This reflects pricing concessions to be lapped, new business to be added with favorable price/mix, and significant synergies and other operating efficiencies to be realized.

Current projections are for modest sales and profit growth in this segment in fiscal 2015, and for growth to accelerate in fiscals 2016 and 2017. Over the long term, the company remains confident in the growth prospects for its private brands business based on the fundamental appeal to consumers, the strategic importance of private brands to trade customers, and value-added capabilities of the ConAgra Foods’ private brand operations.

Hedging activities
Hedge gains and losses are aggregated, and net amounts are reclassified from unallocated Corporate expense to the operating segments when the underlying commodity or foreign currency being hedged is expensed in segment cost of goods sold. The net of these activities resulted in $14 million of favorable impact in the current quarter and $37 million of unfavorable impact in the year-ago period. The company identifies these amounts as items impacting comparability.

Other items

  • Unallocated Corporate amounts were $65 million of expense in the current quarter and $181 million of expense in the year-ago period, as reported. After adjusting for $3 million of net expense in the current quarter, and $88 million of net expense in the year-ago period from items impacting comparability, current quarter expense of $62 million declined from $93 million in the year-ago period. The comparable decline largely reflects lower incentives, lower pension expense, and efficiency initiatives.
  • Equity method investment earnings were $12 million for the current quarter and $5 million in the year-ago period. The increase reflects improved results for Lamb Weston’s European potato joint venture. In future periods, earnings associated with the company’s interest in Ardent Mills will be reported in equity method investment earnings.
  • Net interest expense was $93 million in the current quarter and $102 million in the year-ago period, reflecting debt reduction.

Capital items

  • During the quarter, the company repaid significant amounts of debt, resulting in more than $600 million of debt reduction for the fiscal year. The company plans to reduce debt by approximately $1 billion in fiscal 2015, using a combination of operating cash and net proceeds received from the formation of Ardent Mills. Once the fiscal 2015 goal is achieved, the company will have repaid approximately $2 billion of debt since the acquisition of Ralcorp in fiscal 2013.
  • Dividends for the current quarter totaled $105 million versus $104 million in the year-ago period, reflecting an increase in shares outstanding.
  • The company did not repurchase any shares of common stock during the quarter.
  • For the current quarter, capital expenditures for property, plant and equipment were $131 million, compared with $163 million in the year-ago period. Depreciation and amortization expense was approximately $156 million for the fiscal fourth quarter; this compares with a total of $145 million in the year-ago period.
  • Shortly after the end of the quarter, the company contributed its milling operations into Ardent Mills, a milling joint venture. In connection with the formation of this venture and the divestiture of three mills, ConAgra Foods received approximately $530 million of cash, net of estimated tax, and a 44 percent interest in Ardent Mills. In the first quarter of fiscal 2015, the company intends to adopt a new accounting standard that is expected to result in reclassifying the milling operations as discontinued operations, which will change the presentation of prior periods. ConAgra Foods’ portion of Ardent Mills profits will be reflected pretax within equity method investment earnings. ConAgra Foods expects to earn approximately $0.07-$0.09 less per diluted share in fiscal 2015 from Ardent Mills (including the benefit of lower interest expense from allocating Ardent-related proceeds toward debt reduction) than it earned in fiscal 2014 from its milling operations, on a comparable basis.

Outlook
The company expects fiscal 2015 EPS to reflect a mid-single digit rate of growth over the comparable fiscal 2014 EPS of $2.17. Fiscal 2016 and 2017 EPS is expected to show a high-single digit rate of annual EPS growth as the company benefits from a stronger underlying business, sizeable synergies, good productivity and efficiencies, and lower interest expense. Other long-term goals are unchanged.

With regard to specific fiscal 2015 assumptions, the company expects:

  • Consumer Foods volume to sequentially improve throughout fiscal 2015.
  • Commercial Foods to show good sales and profit growth; its results will be restated to reflect the reclassification of milling results to discontinued operations.
  • Private Brands profits to grow modestly over fiscal 2014 amounts, although down year-over-year in the first half of the fiscal year due to pricing concessions yet to be lapped. Private Brands sales are expected to increase modestly for the fiscal year.
  • Strong productivity as well as synergies related to the Ralcorp acquisition. Together these are expected to be approximately $350 - $375 million for the entire company in fiscal 2015, which should more than offset the expected 2-3 percent inflation planned for fiscal 2015. Segment expectations described above reflect these amounts.
  • More than $50 million of Selling, General & Administrative savings generated by efficiency initiatives.
  • Higher incentives.
  • $30 million of lower interest expense resulting from the fiscal 2014 debt repayment.
  • The benefit of an extra week in fiscal 2015 versus fiscal 2014.
  • To earn $0.07-$0.09 per share less from Ardent Mills (and related capital allocation) than it earned from the milling operations last fiscal year.
  • To generate at least $1.6-$1.7 billion of operating cash flow, and to repay approximately $1 billion of debt from a combination of operating cash flow and net proceeds received from the formation of Ardent Mills.
  • With regard to the mid-single digit EPS growth expected in fiscal 2015, the company currently expects the EPS growth to be concentrated in the second half of the fiscal year. The company currently expects comparable EPS in the fiscal 2015 first quarter to be slightly below comparable year-ago amounts.

 

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